Pittsburgh
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 88.7067Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 13-10 212 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 17-10 218 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 11-12 222 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 10- 8 228 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 9-12 304 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 7-10 307 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 3-19 311 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 17- 5 314 A Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 8-12 321 H Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 10-11 324 H Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 16- 5 328 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 7-16 331 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 12-11 405 H Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 14-11 411 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 15-14 415 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 15-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Ohio State 13-10 3 -3 ++ 5.76
212 H Duke 17-10 7 -1 +++ 7.89
218 A Penn State 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 5.01
222 H Virginia Tech 10- 8 2 3 -0.95
228 A Notre Dame 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.04
304 H Virginia 7-10 -3 0 - -2.52
307 A North Carolina 3-19 -16 -13 -1.44
311 H American 17- 5 12 11 0.76
314 A Boston College 8-12 -4 -5 1.39
321 H Clemson 10-11 -1 -5 + 3.66
324 H Youngstown State 16- 5 11 18 - -3.00
328 A Syracuse 7-16 -9 -6 - -3.25
331 H James Madison 12-11 1 -1 1.79
405 H Florida State 14-11 3 7 -- -4.32
411 A Louisville 15-14 1 1 -0.40
415 H Robert Morris 15-10 5 15 --- -9.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Robert Morris 15-10 5 15 --- -9.00 405 H Florida State 14-11 3 7 -- -4.32 304 H Virginia 7-10 -3 0 - -2.52 324 H Youngstown State 16- 5 11 18 - -3.00 328 A Syracuse 7-16 -9 -6 - -3.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Duke 17-10 7 -1 +++ 7.89 207 A Ohio State 13-10 3 -3 ++ 5.76 218 A Penn State 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 5.01 228 A Notre Dame 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.04 321 H Clemson 10-11 -1 -5 + 3.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 13-10 -9.80 30.36 1.37 1.08 68.71
3 H Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 17-10 -8.94 31.23 -1.37 1.08 64.67
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 11-12 -6.55 33.61 1.37 1.08 -2.81
3 H Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 10- 8 -12.77 27.39 -1.37 1.08 56.36
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 9-12 -6.52 33.65 1.37 1.08 -2.79
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 7-10 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 1.08 -5.80
3 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 3-19 -0.00 40.17 1.37 1.08 -0.74
3 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 17- 5 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 1.08 38.41
3 A Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 8-12 -7.17 33.00 1.37 1.08 -3.14
3 H Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 10-11 -5.16 35.01 -1.37 1.08 -3.53
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 16- 5 -27.62 12.55 -1.37 1.08 24.22
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 7-16 -6.81 33.36 1.37 1.08 -2.95
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 12-11 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 1.08 64.45
3 H Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 14-11 -17.14 23.02 -1.37 1.08 46.89
3 A Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 15-14 -13.96 26.20 1.37 1.08 59.70
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 15-10 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 1.08 31.06
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432.71
|
winning pts = 454.4739 losing points = -21.7608
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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